Tennessee football updated 2025 game-by-game win percentage chances after Week 2

Tennessee (2-0) defeated East Tennessee State (11), 72-17, in its home opener on Saturday at Neyland Stadium. The Vols will open Southeastern Conference play in Week 3.

Tennessee will host Georgia (2-0) in Week 3 at Neyland Stadium (3:30 p.m. EDT, ABC). ESPN “College GameDay” will broadcast live from Tennessee ahead of the SEC contest.

Following Week 2 contests, ESPN Football Power Index released updated win percentage chances for each game in 2025.

ESPN FPI projects the Vols to have a 51.5 percent chance to defeat Georgia. Tennessee also has the eighth-best odds to make the College Football Playoff (53.2 percent).

Below are win percentage chances for the Vols in regular-season games from ESPN FPI after Week 2.

Syracuse Orange

Prediction: ESPN FPI projected Tennessee to have an 88.6 percent chance to win

Game result: Tennessee 45, Syracuse 26

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)

Date: Aug. 30

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Prediction: Tennessee 99.0 percent chance to win

Game result: Tennessee 72, ETSU 17

Location: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tennessee)

Date: Sept. 6

Georgia Bulldogs

Prediction: Tennessee 51.5 percent chance to win

Location: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tennessee)

Date: Sept. 13

UAB Blazers

Prediction: Tennessee 98.4 percent chance to win

Location: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tennessee)

Date: Sept. 20

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Prediction: Tennessee 81.2 percent chance to win

Location: Davis Wade Stadium (Starkville, Mississippi)

Date: Sept. 27

Arkansas Razorbacks

Prediction: Tennessee 73.3 percent chance to win

Location: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tennessee)

Date: Oct. 11

Alabama Crimson Tide

Prediction: Alabama 63.0 percent chance to win

Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium (Tuscaloosa, Alabama)

Date: Oct. 18

Kentucky Wildcats

Prediction: Tennessee 78.0 percent chance to win

Location: Kroger Field (Lexington, Kentucky)

Date: Oct. 25

Oklahoma Sooners

Prediction: Tennessee 75.3 percent chance to win

Location: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tennessee)

Date: Nov. 1

New Mexico State Aggies

Prediction: Tennessee 99.0 percent chance to win

Location: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tennessee)

Date: Nov. 15

Florida Gators

Prediction: Tennessee 64.1 percent chance to win

Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium (Gainesville, Florida)

Date: Nov. 22

Vanderbilt Commodores

Prediction: Tennessee 78.9 percent chance to win

Location: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tennessee)

Date: Nov. 29

Tennessee will have an open date on Oct. 4 and Nov. 8.

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This article originally appeared on Vols Wire: Updated 2025 win percentage chances for each Vols’ game after Week 2

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